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Video will be 72% of India’s mobile data traffic by 2020: Cisco

By Digital Edge Bureau, 09.02.2016, 22:12
 
Video tablet with many app icons

The 10th annual Cisco visual networking index (VNI) mobile forecast revels that the video will be 72 percent of India’s mobile data traffic by 2020, compared to 40 percent at the end of 2015; while streaming audio will be seven percent of India’s mobile data traffic by 2020, compared to 10 percent at the end of 2015

The 10th annual Cisco visual networking index (VNI) mobile forecast revels some of the very starling facts about mobility and the technological direction in it has been heading towards. The study says that by 2020, there would be 5.5 billion mobile users, representing 70 percent of the global population. However, for the Indian scenario, the forecast says that the video will be 72 percent of India’s mobile data traffic by 2020, compared to 40 percent at the end of 2015; while streaming audio will be seven percent of India’s mobile data traffic by 2020, compared to 10 percent at the end of 2015.  File sharing will be two percent of India’s mobile data traffic by 2020 and Web and other data will be 19 percent of India’s mobile data traffic by 2020, compared to 48 percent at the end of 2015.
The VNI mobile forecast further reveals that in India the 4G connections would grow 86-fold from 2015 to 2020, a compound annual growth rate of 144 61 percent and reach 26.2 61 percent of total mobile connections by 2020, compared to 0.4 61 percent in 2015. The 3G connections will be 52.6 61 percent of total mobile connections by 2020, compared to 15.761 percent in 2015. And 2G connections will be 19.761 percent of total mobile connections by 2020, compared to 83.961 percent in 2015.
The forecast makes this very clear that the adoption of mobile devices, increased mobile coverage, and demand for mobile content are driving user growth two times faster than the global population over the next five years. So this surge of mobile users, smart devices, mobile videos and 4G networks will increase mobile data traffic eight-fold over the next five years.
Sanjay Kaul, Managing Director, Service Provider Business, Cisco India & SAARC, says “Used extensively by consumer as well as enterprise segments, with impressive uptakes in both developed and emerging markets, mobility has proved to be transformational. The number of mobile subscribers is growing rapidly, and bandwidth demand for data and video is increasing. The Mobile M2M connections continue to increase. The next five years are projected to provide unabated mobile video adoption. Considering all of this, backhaul capacity must increase so mobile broadband, data access, and video services can effectively support consumer usage trends and keep mobile infrastructure costs in check. Deploying next-generation mobile networks requires great deal of programmability, automation and service agility”.
The forecast also points out that the mobile video will have the highest growth rate of any mobile application. Consumer and business users’ demand for higher video resolution, more bandwidth, and processing speed will increase the use of 4G connected devices. 4G connectivity share is projected to surpass 2G by 2018 and 3G by 2020. The 4G will represent more than 70 percent of all mobile traffic, and 4G connections will generate nearly six times more traffic per month than non-4G connections by 2020.
Also, the smart mobile devices and connections are projected to represent 72 percent of total mobile devices and connections by 2020—up from 36 percent in 2015. Smart devices are forecasted to generate 98 percent of mobile data traffic by 2020. From an individual device perspective, smartphones are dominating mobile traffic. They will account for 81 percent of total mobile traffic by 2020—up from 76 percent in 2015. The proliferation of mobile phones, including phablets, is increasing so rapidly that more people will have mobile phones (5.4 billion) than electricity (5.3 billion), running water (3.5 billion) and cars (2.8 billion) by 2020.

Indian story at a glance:
• In India, there were 798.4 Million (61 percent of India’s population) mobile users in 2015, up 861 percent from 737.5 Million (58 61 percent of India’s population) in 2014. This will reach 990.2 Million (7161 percent of India’s population) mobile users by 2020.
• In India, mobile data traffic will grow 12-fold from 2015 to 2020, a compound annual growth rate of 6361 percent and reach 1.7 Exabytes per month by 2020 (the equivalent of 430 million DVDs each month), up from 148.9 Petabytes per month in 2015.
• In India, mobile data traffic will account for 34 61 percent of Indian fixed and mobile data traffic by 2020, up from 11 61 percent in 2015 and mobile data traffic will grow 2 times faster than fixed IP traffic from 2015 to 2020.
• In India, 54 61 percent of mobile connections will be smart connections by 2020, up from 11 61 percent in 2015 and 92 61 percent of mobile data traffic will be ‘smart’ traffic by 2020, up from 53 61 percent in 2015.

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